Jasmine Crockett's chances of flipping GOP Senate seat in Texas—Polls

Jasmine Crockett's Chances of Flipping GOP Senate Seat in Texas

Representative Jasmine Crockett, a Democrat from Texas, stated that she is seriously considering a run for the U.S. Senate in the Lone Star State. Early polling suggests she could be a leading contender in the Democratic primary.

“I am seriously weighing a Senate run,” Crockett said.

According to reports, Newsweek reached out to Crockett’s campaign and congressional office via email for additional comment.

Democrats Face Uphill Battle in 2026 Senate Races

The upcoming Senate elections present difficult odds for Democrats. Republicans currently hold a 53–47 majority in the chamber, pushing Democrats to compete in more conservative states like Texas to regain control.

Democrats have identified GOP-held seats in Maine—where former Vice President Kamala Harris won by roughly seven points—and North Carolina—where President Donald Trump prevailed by about three points—as their most promising flip targets.

The Texas Factor

No other Republican-held Senate seats in states won by Harris, or narrowly by Trump, are up for reelection next year. This reality makes Texas one of the most crucial battlegrounds for Democrats hoping to shift the balance of power.

Crockett’s potential campaign could significantly influence the Democratic primary, already attracting several prominent contenders for the nomination.

Crockett’s Rising Profile

First elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2022, Crockett has gained national recognition for her outspoken criticism of President Donald Trump and other Republican leaders. Her approach has positioned her as a bold voice within her party.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris described Crockett as “authentic” when discussing future Democratic leadership.

As speculation grows around her possible Senate run, political observers suggest that Crockett’s decision could reshape the Democratic strategy in Texas and beyond.

Author’s Summary: Jasmine Crockett’s potential Senate bid in Texas could energize Democrats in a tough election cycle and redefine the party’s strategy in key battleground states.

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Newsweek Newsweek — 2025-11-01